Horse Racing - The Effect of the Draw

The draw for stall positions only takes place for flat and all-weather races. The significance of the draw is less in longer races but can be very important in sprint races.
As a general rule you can normally disregard any effect of the draw in races of a mile or longer. The exceptions to this are if a race has a larger than normal number of runners. There are also some courses such as Chester which because of their sharp bends favour those horses drawn near the inner rails in any race.
Starting stalls can be placed on either side of the course although they are normally situated next to the inner rail. However, it is always worth checking to make such that the stalls are in their normal position. On occasions to avoid bad ground or to protect the going for future meetings the stalls may be moved further across the course.
At some courses the effect of the draw can be dependent upon the going. Many experts believe that for instance in sprints at Windsor racecourse high numbers are favoured but if the going is soft or heavy it can be the lower numbers that have the advantage.
Obviously another factor that will affect the influence of the draw on the result is the number of runners in the race. With a few runners it is a lot easier for a jockey to overcome the draw and get his horse placed where he or she wants it in the field.
The draw can be even more significant on some of the All Weather courses which have particularly sharp bends. For instance at Kempton the horses drawn high seem to have a significant advantage in 5 and 6 furlong sprints. At Southwell and Lingfield it can be a disadvantage to be drawn wide in one of the high number stalls.
It is quite easy to get the draw statistics for the various courses from the Racing Post either the printed or online version. One note of caution is that the draw effect can change from season to season. This can be due to a number of reasons, moving the stall, watering the course or improving the course drainage.
Even if your horse has a favourable draw you have to consider if it is going to be capable of taking advantage of it. For instance a horse may have the favourable inside draw but if it tends to be a slow starter it may find other horses have got off quicker and grabbed the favoured inside position and so blogged that horse progress.
When it comes to finding winners the draw is just one of the pieces of the jigsaw that you have to put together to find the winner.

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